Read the Market.
Before the Market
Reads You.
CRELYTIC Market Intelligence delivers real-time Treasury rates, yield curve analysis, CRE lending spreads, and prediction market signals — giving you the macroeconomic context behind every investment decision.
What Sets Market Intelligence Apart
Five capabilities working together to replace fragmented rate-checking and manual spread analysis.
Real-Time Rate Dashboard
Fed Funds, SOFR, Treasuries across the 2Y-30Y curve, Prime, and 30-year mortgage rates — all updating in real time. No more toggling between the Fed website, Treasury Direct, and Bloomberg terminals. Market Intelligence consolidates every rate that matters for CRE into one clean view, with 90-day Treasury history so you can see where rates have been, not just where they are today.
When the 10Y Treasury moves 15bps in a week, you see it immediately alongside your SOFR-based floating rate exposure — context that changes how you price deals and evaluate refinancing windows.
Yield Curve Visualization
See the full Treasury yield curve plotted in real time — today versus one year ago — with automatic normal/inverted status detection. An inverted yield curve signals recession risk and tighter credit conditions. A normalizing curve suggests the Fed pivot is working. Market Intelligence makes the shape of the curve visually obvious and explains what it means for CRE capital markets.
When the 2Y/10Y spread flips from inverted to normal, Market Intelligence flags the shift and contextualizes it: falling short rates typically mean cheaper floating-rate debt and wider refinancing windows for bridge borrowers.
CRE Lending Spread Analysis
Agency multifamily spreads around 170bps, bridge lending at SOFR + 325bps, CMBS conduit spreads near 190bps — Market Intelligence tracks the spreads that define CRE lending and calculates all-in rates automatically. See how a 25bps spread compression changes your acquisition cost of capital, or how widening CMBS spreads affect permanent financing economics. Break-even cap rate calculations at configurable LTV thresholds give you the math behind go/no-go decisions.
At 65% LTV with a 6.5% all-in rate, your break-even cap rate is roughly 4.23%. Market Intelligence runs this math continuously so you always know the minimum yield your acquisition needs to pencil.
Prediction Market Signals
Polymarket-sourced forward-looking indicators on Fed rate cuts, whether the 10Y will exceed 5%, CRE price decline probability, recession odds, and multifamily vacancy expectations. Prediction markets aggregate thousands of informed bets into real-time probability signals — a leading indicator that often moves before traditional economic data. Market Intelligence surfaces these signals alongside your rate data so you can see what the market expects, not just where it stands today.
When prediction markets price in a 72% probability of two or more Fed cuts this year while the 10Y stays elevated, it tells you short rates may fall while long rates hold — a steepening curve that favors bridge-to-perm strategies.
Break-Even Cap Rate Calculator
Every acquisition has a minimum cap rate that makes the math work given your cost of capital and leverage. Market Intelligence calculates this break-even cap rate continuously at configurable LTV thresholds — 55%, 65%, 75% — so you know instantly whether a deal pencils at current rates. When spreads tighten or the base rate drops, the break-even cap rate moves in real time, and deals that didn't work last month might work today.
A 50bps drop in the all-in lending rate at 65% LTV shifts your break-even cap rate by roughly 30bps. Market Intelligence shows this sensitivity so investment committees can make rate-adjusted go/no-go calls in real time.
See It In Action
Live macroeconomic dashboard with real-time rates, yield curve analysis, and CRE lending context.
Fed Funds
4.33%
→ 0 bps
SOFR
4.31%
▼ 2 bps
2Y Treasury
3.95%
▼ 5 bps
5Y Treasury
4.05%
▼ 3 bps
10Y Treasury
4.25%
▲ 4 bps
30Y Treasury
4.58%
▲ 2 bps
Prime Rate
7.50%
→ 0 bps
30Y Mortgage
6.67%
▲ 8 bps
2Y-10Y spread: -30 bps — Short rates above long rates signal tighter lending conditions
Yield Curve — Today vs. 1Y Ago
U.S. Treasury yield across maturities
10Y Treasury — 90-Day History
Daily rate movement (%)
Agency All-In
5.95%
10Y + 170bps
Bridge All-In
7.56%
SOFR + 325bps
Break-Even Cap
3.87%
at 65% LTV
Built for Every Seat at the Table
From acquisitions to investor relations — Market Intelligence adapts to your role.
For Acquisitions Teams
You're underwriting a 200-unit multifamily deal and need to know whether the seller's 4.75% exit cap assumption still holds in today's rate environment. Market Intelligence shows you the current all-in agency rate, the break-even cap rate at your target LTV, and prediction market sentiment on rate direction — so you can frame the deal in current market context, not last quarter's assumptions.
For Capital Markets
Spread movements create refinancing windows that open and close in weeks. Market Intelligence tracks agency, bridge, and CMBS spreads in real time alongside base rates, so you see when all-in rates hit levels that make a refi pencil. When CMBS conduit spreads compress 20bps while the 10Y holds steady, you catch the window before it closes.
For Investment Committees
Every go/no-go decision depends on the rate environment, but IC memos often reference rates that are days or weeks old. Market Intelligence provides a live macro snapshot — current rates, yield curve shape, spread levels, and prediction market signals — so committee members have the same real-time context when evaluating deals. No more debating whether rates moved since the memo was written.
For Fund Managers
Quarterly investor letters need macroeconomic context that explains portfolio performance and strategy adjustments. Market Intelligence gives you the narrative data: where rates were at the start of the quarter, how the yield curve shifted, what happened to CRE lending spreads, and what prediction markets signal about the path forward. The story writes itself when the data is already organized.
Platform Capabilities
Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about CRELYTIC Market Intelligence and real-time rate monitoring.
Stop Checking Rates Across Five Tabs
Treasury Direct, the Fed website, a Bloomberg terminal, a CMBS pricing sheet, and Polymarket in another window. Every morning your team pieces together the rate environment from five different sources. CRELYTIC Market Intelligence puts it all in one view — with CRE-specific spread and cap rate context built in.